Fuzzy Probability Spaces and Their Applications in Decision Making
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17713/ajs.v35i2&3.382Abstract
In this paper, two types of fuzzy probability spaces will be introduced and their applications in methods of decision making under risk (especially in the Decision Matrix Method) will be described. First, a fuzzy probability space that generalizes the classical probability space (Rn; Bn; p) to the situation of fuzzy random events will be studied. It will be appliedto perform fuzzy discretization of continuous risk factors. Second, a fuzzy probability space that enables an adequate mathematical modelling of expertly set uncertain probabilities of states of the world will be defined. The presented theoretical results will be illustrated with two examples comparing stock yields.
References
Campos, L. M. D., Huete, J. F., and Moral, S. (1994). Probability intervals - a tool of uncertain reasoning. International Journal of Uncertainty, Fuzziness and Knowledge-Based Systems, 2, 167-196.
Dubois, D., Nguyen, H. T., and Prade, H. (2000). Possibility theory, probability and fuzzy sets. In D. Dubois and H. Prade (Eds.), Fundamentals of Fuzzy Sets (p. 343-438). Boston, London, Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers.
Dubois, D., and Prade, H. (1980). Fuzzy Sets and Systems: Theory and Applications (1st ed.). New York: Academic Press.
Negoita, C. V., and Ralescu, D. (1975). Applications of Fuzzy Sets to Systems Analysis (1st ed.). Stuttgart: Birkhäuser Verlag - Edituria Technica.
Pan, Y., and Klir, G. J. (1997). Bayesian inference based on interval-valued prior distributions and likelihoods. Journal of Intelligent and Fuzzy Systems, 5, 193-203.
Pan, Y., and Yuan, B. (1997). Bayesian inference on fuzzy probabilities. Int. Journal of General Systems, 26(1-2), 73-90.
Pavlačka, O. (2004). Normalized Fuzzy Weights. Unpublished master’s thesis, Faculty of Science, Palacky University, Olomouc.
Talašová, J. (2000). Nefrit – multicriteria decision making based on fuzzy approach. Central European Journal of Operations Research, 8, 297-319.
Talašová, J. (2003). Fuzzy methods of multicriteria evaluation and decision-making (in Czech) (1st ed.). Olomouc: Publishing House of Palacky University.
Talašová, J. (2005). Fuzzy sets in decision-making under risk (in Czech). In M. Kováčová (Ed.), Proceedings of the 4th International Conference Aplimat (p. 532-544). Bratislava: EX.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
The Austrian Journal of Statistics publish open access articles under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) License.
The Creative Commons Attribution License (CC-BY) allows users to copy, distribute and transmit an article, adapt the article and make commercial use of the article. The CC BY license permits commercial and non-commercial re-use of an open access article, as long as the author is properly attributed.
Copyright on any research article published by the Austrian Journal of Statistics is retained by the author(s). Authors grant the Austrian Journal of Statistics a license to publish the article and identify itself as the original publisher. Authors also grant any third party the right to use the article freely as long as its original authors, citation details and publisher are identified.
Manuscripts should be unpublished and not be under consideration for publication elsewhere. By submitting an article, the author(s) certify that the article is their original work, that they have the right to submit the article for publication, and that they can grant the above license.